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Measuring the quality of a player's passes by looking at assist-to-bad-pass turnover rate


It would be very helpful if the NBA stats website gave users the option to exclude certain types of turnovers from a player's assist-to-turnover ratio. While it doesn't tell the entire story, I think the assist-to-bad-pass ratio can give a clearer picture of the quality and security of a player's passes.

Think about it— if your goal is to measure the quality of a player's passing (which is not always the stated goal of using A/TO), is the number of times a player committed and offensive foul or carried the ball relevant at all?

Below are the top 100 players by career assist-to-bad-pass ratio (min. 400 assists). Detailed play-by-play data only exists from 1996-97 onward and I've cut this off at the 2021-22 season. Here are a couple of examples of why I think this is a good piece of information to have:

  1. Tyus Jones is #1, which lines up with what you'd expect. He's finished with the league's best assist-to-turnover ratio several times in his career. His younger brother, Tre, would be #2 if this I lowered the minimum assists threshold.
  2. Nikola Jokić's career assist-to-turnover ratio is around 2.24. When you exclude offensive fouls, which he does a fair amount, and other non-passing turnovers, his ratio goes up to 4.1, which is much more representative of his superior passing skills. I'm not a Jokić fan in the slightest— I'm the opposite, really— but even I have to admit that any offensive statistic that doesn't show him as being one of the best could use some adjusting.

And I just want to note: this is not a perfect representation of a player's passing ability. It doesn't answer the question "Who is the best passer in the league?", but it's a start.

For example, by this measure, Brandon Clarke of the Memphis Grizzlies would have a ratio of 6.6, and would show up near the top of this list if he had enough assists. You should not consider Brandon Clarke to be one of the greatest passers of all time. This statistic rates him well because although he is not in the type of role where he has many opportunities to get assists, he does tend to make passes that reach his teammates' hands instead of his opponents'.

RankPlayerAssistsBad Pass TurnoversAssist to Bad Pass Ratio
1Tyus Jones16912277.4
2Monte Morris10421427.3
3Kevon Looney498697.2
4Chris Quinn455647.1
5Travis Diener432627.0
6Chris Paul1097716256.8
7Brandon Roy15172306.6
8Tyrese Maxey441706.3
9Ryan Arcidiacono460756.1
10Gary Payton58489736.0
11Jordan McLaughlin498836.0
12Frank Kaminsky6191055.9
13Terrell Brandon26624625.8
14Delon Wright12462175.7
15Antonio Daniels29345115.7
16Jason Collins6261105.7
17Jason Hart7741405.5
18José Calderón51489355.5
19Avery Johnson26624865.5
20Anthony Mason19263525.5
21Ish Smith27995155.4
22Kevin Ollie15012775.4
23Muggsy Bogues12382295.4
24Fred VanVleet17043165.4
25Al Horford31445895.3
26Alvin Williams18773525.3
27T.J. McConnell24044565.3
28Bimbo Coles12412365.3
29Anthony Goldwire6251195.3
30Speedy Claxton14412765.2
31Jeff McInnis25144825.2
32Michael Kidd-Gilchrist515995.2
33Tim Frazier11422205.2
34Earl Boykins20924065.2
35Tony Parker703613675.1
36Cory Joseph21864255.1
37Carlos Arroyo17613435.1
38Donald Sloan6511285.1
39Damon Stoudamire47189335.1
40Kenny Anderson25054975.0
41Sam Cassell506410125.0
42Pooh Richardson425855.0
43Markelle Fultz6231255.0
44Jalen Brunson10342085.0
45LaMarcus Aldridge20764185.0
46Derrick White10062054.9
47Tyrese Haliburton9371914.9
48Adrian Griffin6531344.9
49Rod Strickland37457694.9
50Spencer Dinwiddie19333984.9
51Damon Jones18063724.9
52Terry Rozier15093114.9
53John Stockton44969294.8
54DeMar DeRozan37297714.8
55Jimmy Butler28365884.8
56Mark Jackson44449234.8
57Tyronn Lue17273594.8
58Giannis Antetokounmpo30206304.8
59Ronnie Brewer8281734.8
60Immanuel Quickley402844.8
61Deron Williams681914264.8
62Arron Afflalo13862904.8
63Chauncey Billups563611864.8
64Andre Miller852417964.7
65Dejounte Murray15403264.7
66Matt Bonner5521174.7
67Bobby Portis5371144.7
68Kawhi Leonard16723554.7
69Kirk Hinrich42459034.7
70Yogi Ferrell6011284.7
71Bryn Forbes5061084.7
72George Hill26975764.7
73Brevin Knight44819604.7
74Tomáš Satoranský15863404.7
75Travis Best23475054.6
76Tayshaun Prince24065184.6
77Cameron Payne9051954.6
78Brad Wanamaker4641004.6
79Royal Ivey5011084.6
80Mike Conley540711664.6
81Eric Snow41729004.6
82Anthony Johnson22744914.6
83Steve Kerr5221134.6
84Nemanja Bjelica8261794.6
85Brandon Jennings31516854.6
86Malik Beasley418914.6
87Kyle Anderson11672554.6
88Darren Collison35457764.6
89Elfrid Payton28686294.6
90Lee Mayberry7011544.6
91Malcolm Brogdon15963514.5
92Ty Lawson33167324.5
93Austin Rivers14383194.5
94Brian Roberts7211604.5
95Devonte' Graham12032684.5
96Moochie Norris12332754.5
97Facundo Campazzo4521014.5
98Brendan Haywood442994.5
99Patrick Beverley18394124.5
100Charlie Bell8571924.5