Measuring the quality of a player's passes by looking at assist-to-bad-pass turnover rate
It would be very helpful if the NBA stats website gave users the option to exclude certain types of turnovers from a player's assist-to-turnover ratio. While it doesn't tell the entire story, I think the assist-to-bad-pass ratio can give a clearer picture of the quality and security of a player's passes.
Think about it— if your goal is to measure the quality of a player's passing (which is not always the stated goal of using A/TO), is the number of times a player committed and offensive foul or carried the ball relevant at all?
Below are the top 100 players by career assist-to-bad-pass ratio (min. 400 assists). Detailed play-by-play data only exists from 1996-97 onward and I've cut this off at the 2021-22 season. Here are a couple of examples of why I think this is a good piece of information to have:
- Tyus Jones is #1, which lines up with what you'd expect. He's finished with the league's best assist-to-turnover ratio several times in his career. His younger brother, Tre, would be #2 if this I lowered the minimum assists threshold.
- Nikola Jokić's career assist-to-turnover ratio is around 2.24. When you exclude offensive fouls, which he does a fair amount, and other non-passing turnovers, his ratio goes up to 4.1, which is much more representative of his superior passing skills. I'm not a Jokić fan in the slightest— I'm the opposite, really— but even I have to admit that any offensive statistic that doesn't show him as being one of the best could use some adjusting.
And I just want to note: this is not a perfect representation of a player's passing ability. It doesn't answer the question "Who is the best passer in the league?", but it's a start.
For example, by this measure, Brandon Clarke of the Memphis Grizzlies would have a ratio of 6.6, and would show up near the top of this list if he had enough assists. You should not consider Brandon Clarke to be one of the greatest passers of all time. This statistic rates him well because although he is not in the type of role where he has many opportunities to get assists, he does tend to make passes that reach his teammates' hands instead of his opponents'.
Rank | Player | Assists | Bad Pass Turnovers | Assist to Bad Pass Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tyus Jones | 1691 | 227 | 7.4 |
2 | Monte Morris | 1042 | 142 | 7.3 |
3 | Kevon Looney | 498 | 69 | 7.2 |
4 | Chris Quinn | 455 | 64 | 7.1 |
5 | Travis Diener | 432 | 62 | 7.0 |
6 | Chris Paul | 10977 | 1625 | 6.8 |
7 | Brandon Roy | 1517 | 230 | 6.6 |
8 | Tyrese Maxey | 441 | 70 | 6.3 |
9 | Ryan Arcidiacono | 460 | 75 | 6.1 |
10 | Gary Payton | 5848 | 973 | 6.0 |
11 | Jordan McLaughlin | 498 | 83 | 6.0 |
12 | Frank Kaminsky | 619 | 105 | 5.9 |
13 | Terrell Brandon | 2662 | 462 | 5.8 |
14 | Delon Wright | 1246 | 217 | 5.7 |
15 | Antonio Daniels | 2934 | 511 | 5.7 |
16 | Jason Collins | 626 | 110 | 5.7 |
17 | Jason Hart | 774 | 140 | 5.5 |
18 | José Calderón | 5148 | 935 | 5.5 |
19 | Avery Johnson | 2662 | 486 | 5.5 |
20 | Anthony Mason | 1926 | 352 | 5.5 |
21 | Ish Smith | 2799 | 515 | 5.4 |
22 | Kevin Ollie | 1501 | 277 | 5.4 |
23 | Muggsy Bogues | 1238 | 229 | 5.4 |
24 | Fred VanVleet | 1704 | 316 | 5.4 |
25 | Al Horford | 3144 | 589 | 5.3 |
26 | Alvin Williams | 1877 | 352 | 5.3 |
27 | T.J. McConnell | 2404 | 456 | 5.3 |
28 | Bimbo Coles | 1241 | 236 | 5.3 |
29 | Anthony Goldwire | 625 | 119 | 5.3 |
30 | Speedy Claxton | 1441 | 276 | 5.2 |
31 | Jeff McInnis | 2514 | 482 | 5.2 |
32 | Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 515 | 99 | 5.2 |
33 | Tim Frazier | 1142 | 220 | 5.2 |
34 | Earl Boykins | 2092 | 406 | 5.2 |
35 | Tony Parker | 7036 | 1367 | 5.1 |
36 | Cory Joseph | 2186 | 425 | 5.1 |
37 | Carlos Arroyo | 1761 | 343 | 5.1 |
38 | Donald Sloan | 651 | 128 | 5.1 |
39 | Damon Stoudamire | 4718 | 933 | 5.1 |
40 | Kenny Anderson | 2505 | 497 | 5.0 |
41 | Sam Cassell | 5064 | 1012 | 5.0 |
42 | Pooh Richardson | 425 | 85 | 5.0 |
43 | Markelle Fultz | 623 | 125 | 5.0 |
44 | Jalen Brunson | 1034 | 208 | 5.0 |
45 | LaMarcus Aldridge | 2076 | 418 | 5.0 |
46 | Derrick White | 1006 | 205 | 4.9 |
47 | Tyrese Haliburton | 937 | 191 | 4.9 |
48 | Adrian Griffin | 653 | 134 | 4.9 |
49 | Rod Strickland | 3745 | 769 | 4.9 |
50 | Spencer Dinwiddie | 1933 | 398 | 4.9 |
51 | Damon Jones | 1806 | 372 | 4.9 |
52 | Terry Rozier | 1509 | 311 | 4.9 |
53 | John Stockton | 4496 | 929 | 4.8 |
54 | DeMar DeRozan | 3729 | 771 | 4.8 |
55 | Jimmy Butler | 2836 | 588 | 4.8 |
56 | Mark Jackson | 4444 | 923 | 4.8 |
57 | Tyronn Lue | 1727 | 359 | 4.8 |
58 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 3020 | 630 | 4.8 |
59 | Ronnie Brewer | 828 | 173 | 4.8 |
60 | Immanuel Quickley | 402 | 84 | 4.8 |
61 | Deron Williams | 6819 | 1426 | 4.8 |
62 | Arron Afflalo | 1386 | 290 | 4.8 |
63 | Chauncey Billups | 5636 | 1186 | 4.8 |
64 | Andre Miller | 8524 | 1796 | 4.7 |
65 | Dejounte Murray | 1540 | 326 | 4.7 |
66 | Matt Bonner | 552 | 117 | 4.7 |
67 | Bobby Portis | 537 | 114 | 4.7 |
68 | Kawhi Leonard | 1672 | 355 | 4.7 |
69 | Kirk Hinrich | 4245 | 903 | 4.7 |
70 | Yogi Ferrell | 601 | 128 | 4.7 |
71 | Bryn Forbes | 506 | 108 | 4.7 |
72 | George Hill | 2697 | 576 | 4.7 |
73 | Brevin Knight | 4481 | 960 | 4.7 |
74 | Tomáš Satoranský | 1586 | 340 | 4.7 |
75 | Travis Best | 2347 | 505 | 4.6 |
76 | Tayshaun Prince | 2406 | 518 | 4.6 |
77 | Cameron Payne | 905 | 195 | 4.6 |
78 | Brad Wanamaker | 464 | 100 | 4.6 |
79 | Royal Ivey | 501 | 108 | 4.6 |
80 | Mike Conley | 5407 | 1166 | 4.6 |
81 | Eric Snow | 4172 | 900 | 4.6 |
82 | Anthony Johnson | 2274 | 491 | 4.6 |
83 | Steve Kerr | 522 | 113 | 4.6 |
84 | Nemanja Bjelica | 826 | 179 | 4.6 |
85 | Brandon Jennings | 3151 | 685 | 4.6 |
86 | Malik Beasley | 418 | 91 | 4.6 |
87 | Kyle Anderson | 1167 | 255 | 4.6 |
88 | Darren Collison | 3545 | 776 | 4.6 |
89 | Elfrid Payton | 2868 | 629 | 4.6 |
90 | Lee Mayberry | 701 | 154 | 4.6 |
91 | Malcolm Brogdon | 1596 | 351 | 4.5 |
92 | Ty Lawson | 3316 | 732 | 4.5 |
93 | Austin Rivers | 1438 | 319 | 4.5 |
94 | Brian Roberts | 721 | 160 | 4.5 |
95 | Devonte' Graham | 1203 | 268 | 4.5 |
96 | Moochie Norris | 1233 | 275 | 4.5 |
97 | Facundo Campazzo | 452 | 101 | 4.5 |
98 | Brendan Haywood | 442 | 99 | 4.5 |
99 | Patrick Beverley | 1839 | 412 | 4.5 |
100 | Charlie Bell | 857 | 192 | 4.5 |